WP5 Activity 5.1 Models and ScenariosLed by – Paul Shaw (Aberystwyth) Activity QuestionsWhat are the key questions regarding target species distribution and connectivity, that will inform and enhance the work conducted under WPs 2-4? What are the most appropriate models to answer the questions identified above? What data are needed to allow optimisation of modelling for the geographical area and target species? How will target species distributions change under future environmental conditions predicted by IPCC (RCP 4.5) scenarios? How will target species dispersal and connectivity change under future environmental conditions predicted by IPCC (RCP 4.5) scenarios?